Andrew Tobias writes: Why We’re Gonna Win
In October of 2000, voters were asked whether they were �unusually excited� about the upcoming election. And now, in 2004, they’ve been asked again: Are they unusually excited about THIS upcoming election?
Among Republicans, the number is up � 51% are �unusually excited� versus 48% last time.
Among Democrats, the number is up from 36% to 68%.
That is not a typo.
Yes, but it’s also not sourced. Does anybody know where he got this from?
I don’t know where it’s sourced from, but I can tell you it’s probably accurate. Especially with it being so tight at this point, both sides are beyond passionate about this election. They are STOKED
Don’t know the source, but Tobias also makes one other mistake. He’s assuming that the higher Democrat voter turnout will be FOR Kerry. I can name several instances in which people who are staunch Democrats have said they will be voting FOR Bush. I’m regisitered Democrat myself, plan to vote, and it won’t be for Kerry.
Tobias also makes the assumption that just because those people are STOKED, that they will TURNOUT. It would be nice if they all did, regardless of who they vote for, but I just don’t see it.
There’s also the possibility that by “unusually excited” they mean that they expect some kind of coup or other sort of voting irregularities–read the hard core democrat blogs and they are full of paranoia.
That said, I suspect the Democrats really ARE very stoked and that this is a good sign for Kerry.