Halfway over…

…we can do this. We can endure.

Well, at least I can. I’m not directly in harm’s way, being forced to serve in Iraq or Afghanistan. I think. On the other hand, I don’t know… I don’t think I can be drafted at this age, right? At least, not unless I already signed up and was get on with a stop-loss order.

During the last inauguration, I was shopping in the Foodmart International in Jersey City, and I came outside, and saw the Twin Towers gleaming across the river. We all know what happened to the Towers… but I’ll also note, just as an aside, that the supermarket isn’t there anymore either.

What a wonderful economy the President has given us. And what a lovely pair of wars. And such an impressive defecit. And… oh look, here’s a nice list.

You can’t make this stuff up

CNN.com – Poll: Nation split on Bush as uniter or divider – Jan 19, 2005

Umm…

As Josh Marshall says, it’s like the Onion took to writing CNN headlines.

Of course, the Onion still wins hands down for its inauguration coverage of four years ago…

WASHINGTON, DC�Mere days from assuming the presidency and closing the door on eight years of Bill Clinton, president-elect George W. Bush assured the nation in a televised address Tuesday that “our long national nightmare of peace and prosperity is finally over.”

Above: President-elect Bush vows that “together, we can put the triumphs of the recent past behind us.”

“My fellow Americans,” Bush said, “at long last, we have reached the end of the dark period in American history that will come to be known as the Clinton Era, eight long years characterized by unprecedented economic expansion, a sharp decrease in crime, and sustained peace overseas. The time has come to put all of that behind us.”

Bush swore to do “everything in [his] power” to undo the damage wrought by Clinton’s two terms in office, including selling off the national parks to developers, going into massive debt to develop expensive and impractical weapons technologies, and passing sweeping budget cuts that drive the mentally ill out of hospitals and onto the street.

During the 40-minute speech, Bush also promised to bring an end to the severe war drought that plagued the nation under Clinton, assuring citizens that the U.S. will engage in at least one Gulf War-level armed conflict in the next four years.

“You better believe we’re going to mix it up with somebody at some point during my administration,” said Bush, who plans a 250 percent boost in military spending. “Unlike my predecessor, I am fully committed to putting soldiers in battle situations. Otherwise, what is the point of even having a military?”

On the economic side, Bush vowed to bring back economic
stagnation
by implementing substantial
tax cuts
, which would lead to a recession,
which would necessitate a tax hike, which would lead to a drop in consumer
spending, which would lead to layoffs,
which would deepen
the recession even further
.

Wall Street responded strongly to the Bush speech, with the Dow Jones industrial fluctuating
wildly
closing
at an 18-month low
. The NASDAQ composite index, rattled by a gloomy outlook
for tech stocks in 2001, also
fell sharply
, losing 4.4 percent of its total value between 3 p.m. and
the closing bell.
before

Asked for comment about the cooling technology sector, Bush said: “That’s
hardly my area of expertise
.”

Turning to the subject of the environment, Bush said he will do whatever it
takes to undo the tremendous damage not done by the Clinton Administration
to the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge. He assured citizens that he will follow
through on his campaign promise to open
the 1.5 million acre refuge’s coastal plain to oil drilling
. As a sign
of his commitment to bringing about a change in the environment, he pointed
to his choice of Gale Norton for Secretary of the Interior. Norton, Bush noted,
has “extensive experience” fighting environmental causes, working as a lobbyist
for lead-paint manufacturers
and as an attorney for loggers
and miners
, in addition to suing the EPA to overturn clean-air standards.

Bush had equally high praise for Attorney General nominee John Ashcroft, whom
he praised as “a tireless champion in the battle to protect
a woman’s right to give birth
.”

“Soon, with John Ashcroft’s help, we will move out of the Dark Ages and into
a more enlightened time when a woman will be free to think long and hard before
trying to fight her way past throngs of protesters blocking her entrance to
an abortion clinic,” Bush said. “We as a nation can look forward to lots
and lots of babies
.”

Above: Soldiers at Ft. Bragg march lockstep in preparation for America's return to aggression.
Above: Soldiers at Ft. Bragg march lockstep in preparation for America’s return to aggression.

Continued Bush: “John Ashcroft will be invaluable in healing the terrible
wedge President Clinton drove between church
and state
.”

The speech was met with overwhelming approval from Republican leaders.

“Finally, the horrific misrule of the Democrats has been brought to a close,” House
Majority Leader Dennis Hastert (R-IL) told reporters. “Under Bush, we can all
look forward to military aggression, deregulation
of dangerous, greedy industries
, and the defunding
of vital domestic social-service programs
upon which millions depend. Mercifully,
we can now say goodbye to the awful nightmare that was Clinton’s America.”

“For years, I tirelessly preached the message that Clinton must be stopped,” conservative
talk-radio host Rush
Limbaugh
said. “And yet, in 1996, the American public failed to heed my
urgent warnings, re-electing Clinton despite the fact that the nation was prosperous
and at peace under his regime. But now, thank God, that’s all done with. Once
again, we will enjoy mounting debt, jingoism, nuclear
paranoia
, mass
deficit
, and a massive
military build-up
.”

An overwhelming 49.9 percent of Americans responded enthusiastically to the
Bush speech.

“After eight years of relatively sane fiscal policy under the Democrats, we
have reached a point where, just a few weeks ago, President Clinton said that
the national debt could be paid off by as early as 2012,” Rahway, NJ, machinist
and father of three Bud Crandall said. “That’s not the
kind of world I want my children to grow up in
.”

“You have no idea what it’s like to be black and enfranchised,” said Marlon
Hastings, one of thousands of Miami-Dade County residents whose votes
were not counted in the 2000 presidential election
. “George W. Bush understands
the pain of enfranchisement, and ever since Election Day, he has fought tirelessly
to make sure it never happens to my people again.”

Bush concluded his speech on a note of healing and redemption.

“We as a people must stand united, banding together to tear
this nation in two
,” Bush said. “Much work lies ahead of us: The gap
between the rich and the poor may be wide, be there’s
much more widening left to do
. We must squander our nation’s hard-won
budget surplus on tax breaks for the wealthiest
15 percent
. And, on the foreign front, we must find
an enemy and defeat it
.”

“The insanity is over,” Bush said. “After a long, dark night of peace and
stability, the sun is finally rising again over America. We look forward to a bright new dawn not seen since the glory days of my dad.”

Hauman’s Law, The Third Law of the Internet

Much to my surprise, I thought I’d posted this much earlier– I first came up with this in 1998 with BiblioBytes, and presented it at the first meeting of the Media Ecology Association and published it in the SFWA Bulletin, but amazingly, I didn’t have it anywhere online. So I’m going to remedy that now, in order that I can write a few other essays about Google, file-sharing, and a few other things that I’ve been putting off. Please bear in mind that this is from notes that date almost six years now (hence discussions of things like “data dialtone”).


The Three Laws governing growth of the Internet

#1. Computers owe their growth and impact to a phenomenon dubbed Moore’s Law (after Gordon Moore, the founder of Intel), which says that computing power and capacity double every 18 months. This exponential growth led to the digital revolution, and it has only just begun.

#2. Networks have their own growth rule. According to Metcalfe’s Law (named after Bob Metcalfe, the founder of 3Com and inventor of the Ethernet standard commonly used in PC networks), the “value” of a network — defined as its utility to a population — is roughly proportional to the number of users squared. An example is the telephone network. One telephone is useless: whom do you call? Two telephones are better, but not much– at best, you have the old hotline between the US and USSR at the height of the Cold War. If you get one installed every city, you have the functionality of the telegraph system. If you get down to each neighborhood, you have the old party line system. It is only when most of the population has telephones that the power of the network reaches its full potential to change society.

The Internet draws its power from its ability to harness both these laws at once. “Data dialtone” — networking as widespread as the telephone — suddenly seems not only possible, but likely.

#3, relating to content, is humbly referred to as Hauman’s Law (so dubbed by Dr. Paul Levinson, wearing his Media Theorist hat) and states that:

The overall value of a content collection is equivalent to the amount of accessible content squared.

Consider a library. One book has limited value, and is unlikely to have one single piece of information you want or need. (By information, I use the mathematical term defined by Claude Shannon in lay terms as “The difference that makes a difference.”) A hundred books, some value. A thousand books, even more useful. A ten thousand book library can serve the needs of a very small community. A hundred thousand books in a store can serve a number of neighboring towns. A million books can serve a university.

But please note the word “accessible”. There are many things that can affect the accessibility of a content collection.

* Meta-information, or information about the content itself. The amount of work it takes to find the piece of content that you’re looking for increases exponentially with the size of the content collection, so that additional information must be generated about the content to allow for ease in searching and locating the desired information.

Taking cues from the example above: One book requires a table of contents. A hundred books may require an index. A thousand books, you probably want to at least have them alphabetized on your shelves. A ten thousand book library needs a catalog. A hundred thousand books in a store requires a paid staff to sort and categorize them. A million books requires a catalog, a large professional staff, tracking systems, and climate controls.

Other examples of meta-information include reviews, bibliographies, FAQs, recommendation services such as the Book-of-the-Month Club, Internet search engines, or full text searching of all the information.

* Price. The cost may prove to be a barrier to entry for many potential users. Also convenience: how much trouble is it to pay the price? Getting a postal money order may be more of a barrier than the amount of money involved. See also: credit cards online.

* Location and Availability. The effort to cover distance to access the content (i.e. driving ten miles to get to the bookstore or library) is an additional barrier to entry, as are the hours the content is available.

* Content restrictions. Some examples: adult sections of the local library, stack access at research libraries, books excluded from spinner racks because they are too wide, and legislation making some content unavailable over the Internet.

It is this final growth law, the explosion and indexing of huge amounts of information, that truly makes the Internet the wonder that it is. And the application of Hauman’s Law has some very dramatic implications, which I’ll go into in later posts.

Speaking of rolling over odometers

Man, what a drive.

Since Sunday at 5 PM, I’ve driven from Weehawken, NJ to the Huntington, WV (at the border of WV, Ohio, and Kentucky) to pick up my new Prius, then to Carrboro, NC to pick up my friend Scott for the funeral, then back up to NJ, and then out to Port Jefferson for the funeral, with a quick detour to Shoreham, and then back home last night at about 12 PM.

In less than 36 hours, I put nearly 1000 miles on the new car. (This ain’t counting the 500 miles to go pick it up.) Yeesh. More later.

UPDATE: Went out to get the car this morning, and lo and behold– a parking ticket. Sigh. I wouldst have words with these folks…

Andrew

Andrew Gentile, known to many in the Long Island science fiction, gaming, and SCA community, passed away New Year’s morning after a long battle with a brain tumor.

Viewing will be Tuesday in Port Jefferson, hours are from 2-4 and from 7-9. He is going to be cremated, and part of his ashes are to be scattered at Pennsic this coming summer.

More details as I get them and can post.